What I Bet - Monday June 22nd

Griffin Warner talks betting for Monday.

Griffin Warner is back on the Pregame.com Podcast Network with episode 52 of What I Bet, the Monday, June 22nd edition, covering the full FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage card and the complete MLB slate before delivering a single best bet to close the show. Griffin opens by confirming the previous episode's winning play, Kansas City Royals at plus 113, a result that held on through a three-run ninth inning for a 6-5 final before moving straight into the World Cup. The first match on the board is Austria taking on defending champion Argentina at noon Central Time in Dallas, where Griffin observed real Austria supporter presence before making the tactical case for Ralf Rangnick's gegenpressing system as the one approach capable of limiting Messi's time and space. Griffin recaps Argentina's Matchday 1 win over Algeria, where Messi survived a red card situation and scored twice in the second half, and frames the Austria plus one and under two and a half combination as potentially live if the press works the way Rangnick, widely credited as the architect of that style and an influence on coaches like Xabi Alonso, designs it to work. Next up is France against Iraq, where Griffin acknowledges France is on another level after Kylian Mbappe's stoppage-time goal from outside the box buried all underdogs and unders in Matchday 1, and sees no compelling case for Iraq to compete. Griffin identifies Norway versus Senegal as the best match of the day, noting Erling Haaland scored twice in Norway's opener while Senegal impressed for 64 minutes against France before conceding a late Mbappe goal, finding the under two and a half and Senegal as a quarter-goal underdog both worth watching. The final group stage match features a must-win Algeria side returning after a 3-0 loss to Argentina taking on a Jordan team whose best European-league player, Mousa Al-Tamari, the so-called Jordanian Messi playing club football in France, did not show up in the opener. Griffin finds the one-goal spread too tight given Algeria's talent depth and expects sharp money to push the line before kickoff. Baseball follows with a ten-game slate preview. Griffin likes the under 8 in Yankees-Tigers with Garrett Cole back and a worrying Detroit bullpen, the under 7.5 in Royals-Rays with Michael Wacha and Drew Rasmussen both going well and a Tampa Bay team not built to score, the Astros at plus 104 against Toronto with Hunter Brown making a second start opposite Shane Bieber's first of the year, a slight Mets lean at plus 103 against the Cubs with Shota Imanaga's fly ball tendencies a concern against Kodai Senga, the White Sox at home over an injury-thinned Guardians roster missing José Ramírez after hamate surgery, a tempting Merrill Kelly plus 122 number against Andre Pallante in St. Louis, the over on Jason Bennett's rookie Coors Field debut for Boston, and a lean toward the under in the Braves-Padres matchup where Grant Holmes faces Michael King, with both bullpens strong and Ronald Acuña Jr. sidelined by a hamstring injury. Griffin closes with his official What I Bet Best Bet: Kansas City Royals under 7.5 at Tampa Bay Rays at minus 120, with a recommendation to sprinkle on the under 4 in the first half as well. Save fifty dollars on the pregame.com bridge-to-football package through June 29th using promo code KICK50 at checkout, bringing the price down from two forty-nine to one ninety-nine for every best bet in every sport through the Hall of Fame game on August 6th. Subscribe to the Straight Outta Vegas AM feed and follow Real G Warner across all social platforms.

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