What I Bet - Friday June 26th

Griffin Warner talks betting for Friday.

Griffin Warner returns to the What I Bet show on the Straight Outta Vegas AM feed for a stacked Friday, June 26, 2026, pairing a decisive World Cup group stage with a complete Major League Baseball board. With two matches per group kicking off at the same time until the round of 32 arrives, Griffin moves group by group through every total, line move, and side worth a look, starting with a chaotic backdrop, the United States exit after two wins and a clinched group, and Turkey finally scoring a goal at the death after two blank matches. He breaks down Norway against France, both through on six points and chasing the group win, leaning to Norway plus one behind Erling Haaland out of Manchester City while noting Kylian Mbappé under scrutiny at Real Madrid for his defensive work, a wrinkle that pushes Griffin toward the under. He covers Iraq and Senegal, both reeling on zero points, with Senegal a major disappointment behind an aging backline despite strong goalkeeping from Mendy, and he criticizes the structure that advances eight third place teams as a quick shot at FIFA. He digs into Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde, praising the Cape Verde side as tournament darlings after draws with Uruguay and a goalless result against Spain, and lays out the under two and a quarter to two and a half range. He frames Uruguay against Spain as the marquee pairing, liking Uruguay plus one and the under while watching Darwin Núñez search for form under aggressive manager Marcelo Bielsa, with a caveat that Spain can crack the game open. He leans firmly under in the Iran and Egypt pride match in Seattle, and closes the soccer card by fading a flat Belgium golden generation while liking New Zealand and the under. Then the baseball begins. Griffin walks through Andrew Abbott against Paul Skenes in Pittsburgh, Spencer Arrighetti at Keider Montero in Detroit, Andrew Alvarez against Trevor Rogers in a Nationals and Orioles tilt, Nathan Eovaldi opposite former Ranger Patrick Corbin in Toronto, Will Warren versus rookie Payton Tolle at Fenway where his strongest lean is under eight and a half, Luis Castillo against Joey Cantillo in Cleveland with the Guardians at minus 108, Zac Gallen drawing Nick Martinez, Colin Rea against the electric Jacob Misiorowski in Milwaukee, Tomoyuki Sugano in a high total at Minnesota, Max Meyer opposite Michael McGreevy in St. Louis where he trusts the pitching toward under eight, JT Ginn against Walbert Ureña in Anaheim where he likes the plus 112 home underdog, and Roki Sasaki facing Walker Buehler in a tiny San Diego number he leans over. Bryce Miller, George Kirby, Bryan Woo, and José Ramírez all enter the rotation conversation along the way. Save money at pregame.com with promo code HIT15, that is Hotel India Tango 15, for 15 percent off anything on the website, good through July 6th, plenty of time to grab the World Cup and baseball packages. The show closes with the What I Bet best bet, Keider Montero and the Detroit Tigers at minus 115 at home against the Astros. Follow the show at Pregame Now and find Griffin at underscore G Warner across all social media platforms.

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