Cash That Ticket - Monday June 22nd

Munaf Manji and Dave Essler talk betting for Monday.
Munaf Manji and Uncle Diamond Dave Essler open the new week on the Straight Outta Vegas AM feed with a fully loaded Monday edition of Cash That Ticket, working through five MLB matchups and then delivering what Dave calls his strongest NFL win total call of the entire series so far on the Cleveland Browns. The guys come in off a split weekend, both taking their lumps and moving on with the goldfish memory approach that keeps the show rolling. On the baseball side, they start with the pitching matchup of the night in Detroit, where Garrett Cole faces Framber Valdez in a game the market has been moving aggressively, with the total climbing from seven and a half to eight and a half. Munaf lays out Cole's remarkable career dominance over the Tigers, a 10 and 1 record with a 1.84 ERA and the teams he has pitched for going 12 and 2 straight up, while Dave zeros in on the value of Cole at minus 130 and the case for a first five innings under before the bullpens get involved. In Toronto, Hunter Brown faces Dylan Cease in a matchup both hosts see as a first five innings situation, with the Astros bullpen too unreliable to back beyond that point and Cease's home splits revealing an ace-level pitcher who simply has not been getting run support. The Cubs and Mets game carries a significant weather caveat, with a 75 percent rain probability at Citi Field, but if it gets played both hosts fade Kodai Senga despite their deep skepticism about the Chicago offense, reasoning that Senga's recent run of seven home runs allowed and multiple short outings makes the Cubs the better side regardless. In Chicago, Munaf goes with the White Sox as a home underdog behind Anthony Kay, who carries a 3.08 home ERA and gets a Cleveland lineup that struggles against left-handed pitching. The Dodgers and Twins game draws both hosts to the Minnesota side, where Eric Lauer's brutal history against this specific team, thirteen earned runs in ten innings across his last two starts against the Twins, makes laying minus 155 with Los Angeles a non-starter. Both hosts land on the Twins at plus 128, with Munaf adding the Twins team total over in the first five innings. Dave closes the baseball segment with bonus looks at the Reds on the run line against Brendan Woodruff returning from the injured list, a possible under in Texas with Kumar Rocker, and the Red Sox in the first five at Coors. The second half of the episode belongs to the Cleveland Browns, who come in with a win total of six and a half and a roster that looks nothing like the team that went 5 and 12 last season. The Myles Garrett trade to the Rams for Jared Verse and three future draft picks wiped the slate clean, Todd Monken arrives as head coach with prior Cleveland experience and fresh Ravens divisional knowledge, and the quarterback room features Deshaun Watson, Shedeur Sanders and Dillon Gabriel competing for snaps. Dave walks through a schedule that he calls extremely favorable, with the Panthers, Jets, Titans, Saints, Falcons, Colts and Giants all on the docket in winnable spots. He counts at least six wins from those matchups alone and calls this the team he feels most confident about in the win total series. Munaf throws out the bold take that the Browns could legitimately threaten for the AFC North title given that three of the four division teams have new coaches. Both hosts take the over. Best bets feature Dave on the Tampa Bay Rays minus half run in the first five innings behind Drew Rasmussen, who has been one of the most quietly dominant starters in baseball with a 0.88 WHIP and 29 strikeouts over his last three starts, and Munaf on the Yankees and Tigers first five innings under four and a half, backing both starters to control the early innings. Dave adds a weather-dependent bonus on the Cubs team total over four and a half against Senga and the Mets bullpen. Get every best bet in every sport from your favorite Pregame pros through the Hall of Fame game on August 6 by visiting Pregame.com and using promo code STEAL50 to take $50 off the Bridge to Football all-access package and pay just $199.

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