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CFB Group of 5 Season Win Totals !!
Episode Notes
Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk College Football Group of Five betting.
0:05 – 0:31 Opening motivational speech emphasizing speed, defensive swarming, and physical dominance — “Out-block, out-tackle, out-hit, out-hustle” — with a repeated call to “leave no doubt tonight.”
0:31 – 1:19 Griffin Warner Introduces the College Football Podcast episode focusing on Group of Five teams, following a prior episode on the Power Four. Announces a promo code and a college football contest, noting the goal is to identify season-long betting opportunities. Date: Tuesday,
1:45 – 2:33 Griffin Warner Explains that Group of Five games offer strong betting opportunities. Begins with Army (West Point) win total: Over 7.5 at +110, Under 7.5 at -140 on BetOnline.
2:35 – 4:41 Lonte Smith — Army Analysis
2023 Recap: 12–2, AAC champions, led by QB Bryson Daly (dark horse Heisman) and RB Kanye Udo.
Losses: Daly to graduation, Udo to Arizona State, two Joe Moore Award-winning offensive tackles, best defensive player to Georgia.
Returning Talent: Six of top ten tacklers; LB corps Miller & Thomas praised.
Concerns: Offensive drop-off, new OL coach, challenging schedule (Tulane, UTSA, Navy, Air Force).
Projection: 7–5 ceiling, 6–6 floor → leans Under 7.5. 4:41 – 6:08 Griffin Warner & Lonte Smith — Schedule Talk
Army’s 2024 slate includes K-State, North Texas, Tulane, Air Force, Navy (in Baltimore). Lonte favors Navy among service academies, citing better returning production and depth. 7:16 – 14:52 Western Kentucky (C-USA)
Odds: Over 7.5 (-125), Under 7.5 (-105).
2023: 8–6 record.
Roster: Only 3 starters return (1 offense, 2 defense). Poor 2023 rush defense (224 YPG).
Key Additions: QB Maverick McIver (Abilene Christian, 3,500+ yds, 37 TDs), OC Rick Bowie (former Abilene OC). WR Matt Henry (1,100+ yds at Western Illinois).
Concerns: OL continuity, defensive holes, rush defense.
Schedule: Winnable home games; road tests at Toledo, Delaware, Missouri State. Projection: ~8.6 wins → leans Over 7.5.
15:43 – 20:22 Bowling Green (MAC)
Odds: Over 6.5 (+200), Under 6.5 (-260).
2023: 7–6 (6–2 MAC).
Changes: New HC Eddie George; ranked 130th in returning production; offense loses top TE hero Fanning (drafted by Browns).
Defense: Loses 13 of top 15 tacklers but adds FCS standouts (including Eddie George’s son).
Schedule: Lafayette, Cincinnati, Liberty, Louisville early; Toledo and Buffalo at home.
Projection: Depth concer