Cash That Ticket - Thursday August 13th

Munaf Manji and Dave Essler talk betting for Thursday. Munaf Manji and Dave Essler open Thursday's episode by working through a three game getaway day slate before turning their attention to two of the more closely watched NFL win totals on the board. The night's headline game is the Field of Dreams matchup between the Phillies and Twins in Dyersville, Iowa, streaming on Netflix, with Aaron Nola starting for Philadelphia against Taj Bradley for Minnesota. Rain is the real storyline here, with chances climbing through the evening and threatening to shorten or postpone the game entirely, a factor the hosts believe is keeping the total pinned at eight and a half even as public money piles onto the over. Dave leans the under and toward Minnesota given his skepticism of Nola's recent form, while Munaf backs up the same concerns with Nola's home and road numbers this season. From there the show moves to Rangers at Angels, where Jacob deGrom's rough recent stretch against Houston and the White Sox opens the door for a high variance read on Walbert Urena and a shaky Los Angeles bullpen, with Dave favoring an Angels first five look and a Rangers team total over, while Munaf reveals he is the featured dollar capper on Pregame.com with a three star play on the game. The nightcap pits Shane Drohan against Roki Sasaki as the Brewers visit the Dodgers, with a Freddie Freeman injury scare from the previous night hanging over the Los Angeles lineup. Both hosts lean under the total, with Dave adding the Brewers on the run line given Milwaukee's bullpen depth and Drohan's tendency to limit home runs. After a quick pass through the day's earlier getaway games, including a Red Sox and Blue Jays pitching matchup between Payton Tolle and Max Scherzer, the conversation shifts fully into football. The Philadelphia Eagles carry a win total of ten and a half after an eleven and six season and a second straight NFC East title, and both hosts take the under, pointing to the trade of A.J. Brown to the New England Patriots, first year offensive coordinator Sean Mannion learning on the job, lingering questions in the secondary beyond Cooper DeJean, and a stronger projected NFC East. They still see Philadelphia as a ten win caliber team capable of winning the division, with DeVonta Smith, Dontayvion Wicks, and rookie Makai Lemon absorbing a larger share of the passing game behind Saquon Barkley. The Detroit Lions carry the same ten and a half win total after a nine and eight season that saw the best point differential in the NFC North undone by a losing divisional record. Dave leans under given injuries to both projected starting safeties and a tougher slate of divisional quarterbacks, while Munaf takes the over, betting on Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Aidan Hutchinson returning to full strength on defense. The two hosts close the show with their daily best bets, Dave backing the Green Bay Packers minus three and a half in the first half of their preseason opener against Pittsburgh, and Munaf taking the over in Texans at Chargers behind Houston's deep receiver room and Mike McDaniel's new offense in Los Angeles. Listeners are reminded to use promo code NFL50 for fifty dollars off a full NFL season access package on Pregame.com, and the crew previews tomorrow's episode, which continues the NFL win total series with a look at the defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks.
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