What I Bet - Thursday July 9th

Griffin Warner talks betting for July 9th.
Griffin Warner opens episode 61 of What I Bet on a winning note, cashing the Marlins moneyline as Tuesday night's best bet and pushing the show's recent form to 8 and 4 in the last 12 picks, 5 and 2 in the last 7, and 3 and 1 in the last 4. The episode carries the name of Heriberto Hernandez, the Marlins outfielder who has become a frequent feature on recent Marlins broadcasts thanks to a run of highlight reel home runs. From there the show turns to the World Cup quarterfinals, where four matches are on tap for Thursday, July 9, and the biggest one by far is France against Morocco at Gillette Stadium outside Boston. Griffin calls France the most talented team in the tournament behind Kylian Mbappe and Michael Olise, co favorites with Spain, but questions whether manager Didier Deschamps will let his players attack with the freedom their talent deserves given how conservative Deschamps has been all tournament. That doubt pushes Griffin toward Morocco, a one goal underdog with the total at two and a half, a price he calls expensive but still appealing given how much more pragmatic and possession oriented Morocco has become in this competition. He also floats a Morocco to advance price near plus 305, leaning on his earlier successful call backing Morocco past the Netherlands. The show then moves into a full Major League Baseball breakdown covering nine games on the July 9 card. Bryce Elder and the Atlanta Braves visit Mitch Keller and the Pittsburgh Pirates in an early getaway day matchup, with Griffin leaning toward the Pirates at a plus price. Michael Wacha and the Kansas City Royals visit Sean Manaea and the New York Mets, with Griffin favoring Kansas City. Trevor Rogers and the Baltimore Orioles host David Peterson and the Chicago Cubs in what Griffin calls his top interest of the day. Patrick Sandoval and the Boston Red Sox visit Anthony Kay and the Chicago White Sox, with Griffin fading the White Sox. Jack Perkins and the Athletics visit Framber Valdez and the Detroit Tigers, with Griffin liking the Tigers price. Jesus Luzardo and the Philadelphia Phillies visit Brady Singer and the Cincinnati Reds, with Griffin leaning to the over. Logan Henderson and the Milwaukee Brewers visit Andre Pallante and the St. Louis Cardinals, with Griffin sticking to his rule against road favorites and taking the Brewers. Reid Detmers and the Los Angeles Angels visit Nathan Eovaldi and the Texas Rangers, with Griffin leaning under while flagging the shaky Angels bullpen. Merrill Kelly and the Arizona Diamondbacks visit Griffin Canning and the San Diego Padres, with Griffin fading a tired San Diego bullpen after closer Mason Miller worked on Tuesday. To close the episode, Griffin delivers his single best bet of the day, the Baltimore Orioles at minus 125 behind Trevor Rogers in an early matinee against the Chicago Cubs, calling Rogers the far more trustworthy arm in a spot he believes is priced too cheap. He wraps by restating the show's hot recent stretch and encouraging listeners to keep riding the streak through both the World Cup and Major League Baseball slates, with new episodes landing daily on the Straight Outta Vegas AM podcast feed and across social media at Real Underscore G. Warner.

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