BIGGEST Fantasy Football Questions for the Vikings with Matthew Coller

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Ian Hartitz is joined by Matthew Coller of Purple Insider, author of "Football
Is a Numbers Game", to work through the fantasy questions that actually decide
your draft in Minnesota.

Matthew was at every single practice of the quarterback competition and charted
every pass, so this is what he saw with his own eyes rather than what the box
score says.

Some of what came out of it:

Kyler Murray is QB1, and it was a real competition that was not close. The total
rep count over about nine hard practices came out 50/50, which is not what a
locked-in starter's camp looks like, but Murray played par golf across those
nine holes and J.J. McCarthy was five over. Murray moves through his progressions
faster and the accuracy gap is the thing that decided it.

On Justin Jefferson: the camp looks much more like 2022 through 2024 than last
season. Ian's numbers have Murray at a 9% better catchable ball rate to receivers
than what Jefferson dealt with last year, over the first five weeks with screens
removed. And the two plays Matthew keeps coming back to are a fourth-down heave
that he calls a bad throw, which Jefferson goes and wins anyway, and a deep
corner where the ball was gone before Jefferson had even broken.

On the middle of the field: there are always going to be realities to Murray's
size. But when he sees it and throws on time he was something like 30 for 41 in
the intermediate middle in 2024. It just was not a high percentage of his passes,
and Kevin O'Connell's job is building the throwing lanes for it.

Jordan Addison is in a prove-it year with an extension in front of him, off a
season with more drops than he has ever had. Jauan Jennings might be the second
best receiver Murray has ever played with, and he is the WR3 here.

Plus the backfield, where Matthew clears up a quote of his that went around the
fantasy world in a form he did not say, the rookie Demond Claiborne, and a bold
call to finish.

Follow Matthew at @MatthewColler, read him at Purple Insider, and pick up
"Football Is a Numbers Game".

Timestamps:
0:00 Talking Vikings with Matthew Coller
1:22 Was it ever really a quarterback competition?
5:19 How Matthew actually scored it
10:54 Is the Kyler and Jettas connection back?
14:17 Can Kyler work the middle of the field?
17:51 Jordan Addison's prove-it year
21:21 Jauan Jennings, T.J. Hockenson and the target math
27:05 The Jordan Mason and Aaron Jones committee
30:36 What to make of Demond Claiborne
33:29 Matthew's bold call
35:56 Wrapping up