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Fantasy Football Expert Learns How to ACTUALLY Beat Prediction Markets (Kalshi & Polymarket)
Fantasy Sports
Prediction markets are suddenly everywhere. Kalshi, Polymarket, ads on every broadcast, numbers I couldn't believe. But I'm a fantasy football guy, not a trader, and I couldn't have told you the difference between a prediction market and a sportsbook. So I brought Billy Collins from OddsJam back in to break it all down and show me how sharp bettors are actually making money on these things.
The big unlock: prediction markets are peer to peer. You're trading against other people, not the house, so they WANT your volume and you never get limited or capped. And with the OddsJam Traders tool, you can peel back the curtain on real, provably profitable traders on Polymarket, Kalshi, Novig and ProphetX, see their ROI, their bet sizes and exactly what they're trading, then tail the plays they feel strongest about. No touts, no take-my-word-for-it. It's all public.
In this one Billy walks me through confidence scores, relative bet size, slippage, spotting bots, the prediction-market odds calculator, unit sizing, and how to build volume the smart way in about 10 minutes a day.
Try the tools yourself. OddsJam is FREE for 7 days, plus 35% off your first month with code IAN35: oddsjam.com
CHAPTERS:
0:00 Prediction markets are everywhere, and I have no idea how they work
0:44 Why Kalshi and Polymarket suddenly exploded
1:48 Peer to peer = trade on anything, and you never get limited
2:08 Touts get a bad rap, here's why this is different
2:51 The Traders tool: finding provably profitable traders
4:50 Reading the tool, the OddsJam confidence score (70 to 100)
6:22 Relative bet size: how much conviction is behind a play
7:12 Trade count and how to spot the bots
8:04 Slippage explained (green, yellow, red)
8:56 The prediction-market odds calculator (cents to American odds)
9:44 Unit sizing and protecting your bankroll
11:02 A real example: tailing a Braves money line
13:12 Filters: sports, politics, tennis, whatever you want
14:14 Copy the plays in 10 minutes a day, bet at scale, no limits
15:00 The 30-day profit simulator
16:08 Free trial, promo code, and 1-on-1 help
Drop any questions in the comments. Billy and I are reading them, and OddsJam folks will help with the technical stuff too. More fantasy + betting content coming all season.
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From the Fantasy Football with Ian Hartitz channel. Tap the channel link below the title to browse more uploads.
18 minutes.