The Washington Capitals enter 2025–26 facing the reality of regression after leading the NHL in shooting percentage last season. While players like McMichael, Dubois, and Protas enjoyed breakout years, history suggests their numbers could dip as shooting luck balances out. The Caps will need to offset those declines by leaning on structure, depth, and consistency in all areas of their game.

One potential counterbalance is the power play. With Ovechkin still a threat, Carlson and Chychrun anchoring the blue line, and young talent like Leonard, Cristall, and Miroshnichenko pushing for minutes, special teams could be the X-factor. If Washington sharpens its man-advantage production, it may absorb regression at even strength and stay competitive in the playoff race.

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